initial draftsim commit

1 files changed, 16 insertions, 0 deletions

diff --git a/html/blog/draftsim.md b/html/blog/draftsim.md
new file mode 100644
index 00000000..8d86bd80
--- /dev/null
+++ b/html/blog/draftsim.md
@@ -0,0 +1,16 @@
+---
+title: Draft Simulation
+---
+
+Muhq's Game now features an interactive draft simulation at [draft.muhq.space](https://draft.muhq.space).
+
+## Draft Rates
+
+In order to track the perceived power level of individual cards, the draft simulation tracks the rate when cards are picked.
+This draft rate is presented in the card listings as `DR: [0-1)`.
+
+The scale goes from 0, never picked, to close to 1, picked as the first card.
+To achieve a normalized scale with potentially different pack sizes the  amount of alternative is divided by the starting pack ability to pick any other card by chance is used ($1 - (1 / pack size)$).
+This means picking for example {{Ritual!}} out of pack of cards gives a lower rating than picking it from a pack of 12 cards ($7/8 < 11/12$). 
+
+Note that this rating does not allow values of `1` and does not distinguished between the last card from a pack without choice and cards not picked at all.